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Day One – Global Outlook Day Tuesday 12th October 2010 Day One – Global Outlook Day Tuesday 12th October 2010
8am Registration and refreshments
INVESTMENT OUTLOOK FOR 2011
9am Chairman's Opening Remarks
9.10am Keynote address: is this the end of dollar supremacy or is the future still green?
- When can we expect a significant dollar rebound and what is the effect of dollar inflation for the world economy?
- Have we reached the end of the dollar era?
- What are the implications of the dollar losing reserve currency status and can the Euro take over the mantle?
- Examining the future of Asian currencies
- Who are the upcoming world leaders in the Emerging Markets?
9.40am Keynote address: W vs. V, inflation vs. deflation – painting the global investment landscape for 2011
- Where are the winners and losers in the global markets?
- W, V, U – profiling economic recovery
- Analysing the effect of massive policy stimulus and
subsequent fiscal tightening
- How can Europe regain international competitiveness?
- Assessing expected returns in 2011- will equity advances be
harder won?
- Are banks fulfilling their part in driving recovery?
Managing Director & Chief Investment Officer, Research Affiliates
10.40am Morning Refreshments
11.10am Guest address: 2011 – where’s the opportunity?Credited as being one of the greatest investors of our time, Jim Slater is an investing icon, having made a fortune from his success,whilst educating others to achieve similar returns along the way. Take this opportunity to hear and quiz Jim on his picks for 2011.
Investor & Author, Independent
THE FUTURE FOR EUROPEAN FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
– HOW WILL THIS AFFECT INVESTMENT?
11.40am A technical perspective on the future for the currency markets
Technical Strategist, Cazenove Capital
THE RISE AND RISE OF THE EMERGING MARKETS
– ANALYSING THE EASTERN POWER SHIFT
12.10pm With developed economies facing uninspiring growth, do
Asia’s investment prospects outweigh the risk of volatility?
- Can the Chinese authorities manage inflation?
- Will Asian markets give investors the return required to be
- worth the risk taken?
- Can the region stimulate domestic demand or will it remain
- export dependent?
- Does the China/commodity story stack up?
- Is there a danger that investors are paying a premium in
- valuation for growth that may not come?”
Chairman, Lombard Street Research
2pm Afternoon keynote address: China’s Rebalancing ActJing will examine several aspects of the current economic and policy climate in China: i) which industries stand to be the main beneficiaries of policy support as we approach the next five-year plan period? ii) with renewed strength in the property market prompting a new round of tightening measures, should investors anticipate a more stringent policy environment? and iii) how can investors benefit from the long-term shift from an investment-driven economy to one that is propelled by private consumption?
MD China Equities & Commodities, JP Morgan
2.30pm Investing in Emerging Markets
Head of Global Emerging Markets, ING Investment Management
3pm Afternoon refreshments & networking
COMMODITY & ENERGY MARKETS – BULL OR BEAR IN 2011?
3.20pm Assessing the outlook for commodities – will 2011 see further price increase?
- Capitalising on the growth bias towards the energy-intensive emerging economies
- Do long term structural trends point to improved prospects for softs and ags?
- Do the core commodities offer long-term value at these levels?
- Do supply fundamentals indicate a slow down of the industrial metals rally?
Head of Commodities Research, Goldman Sachs International
GEOPOLITICAL RISK AND THE FUTURE FOR RISK
MANAGEMENT – PREPARING FOR THE “WHAT IF…?”
3.50pm Future risk management strategy in light of the challenges
from Solvency II
Chief Quantitative Officer, ATP
4.20pm Panel discussion: is the market in line for a “second round”
of shocks, and if so, how will this affect investment decisions?
- What fat tail risks currently face investors?
- How must portfolios be constructed to prepare for extreme events?
- Structuring internal risk management systems
Group Chief Investment Officer, Schroders Investment Management
Senior Risk Expert, International Monetary Fund
Chief Quantitative Officer, ATP
GLOBAL PROPERTY MARKETS – WHERE’S THE “REAL” MONEY?
4.50pm How will the withdrawal of stimulus affect the global
property market revival?
- Will markets dislocate in the wake of central banks withdrawing monetary support?
- How are trends in commercial property shifting in a global, multi-asset environment?
- Are there opportunities in emerging markets for the long term investor? When can Dubai be expected to begin recovery?
Chief Investment Officer, ABS, CQS
5.30pm Networking Drinks Reception
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