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Conference Day One Monday 18th May, 2009
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| The Prognosis: What Does The Future Hold? |
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8.45am | Registration and breakfast
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9.20am | Chairman’s opening remarks
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| NATIONALISATION |
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9.30am | Opening keynote address: The dawn of a new era: the shape of the post-banking crisis economy
- What roles will governments and central banks play in providing a meaningful, system-stabilising influence?
- Confronting the massive liquidity and confidence challenges – how?
- What next for fiscal and monetary policy?
- To nationalise or not to nationalise?
- Have European governments acted too quickly to protect?
- Good bank/bad bank model – finding the silver bullet
- Alternative approaches to financial market protection
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| RESURRECTING CONSUMER CREDIT |
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10.10am | To new pastures: what will the consumer credit and mortgage finance landscape look like?
- The outlook for global house prices: how long will the bubble’s demise be?
- Will consumer credit still be a profitable product, and in what circumstances?
- How will demographic changes impact the profitability of these areas?
- What future behaviour of savings ratios can we expect?
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10.50am | Morning refreshments
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| INDUSTRY RESTRUCTURING |
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11.20am | Shifting sands: how will the fundamental structure of the banking industry be altered?
- How will different banks be characterised and defined?
- Will government-backed banks be at a disadvantage?
- How different will the regulatory environment be?
- Mobilising private investors to recapitalise the banks
- What products and services will become the profit-generators for banks?
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| THE FUTURE OF INVESTMENT BANKING |
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12pm | Will the investment and shadow banking model be dead or simply altered beyond recognition?
- How will the plumbing of the investment and shadow banking model change?
- Was the Lehman failure a blessing in disguise?
- What has happened to all the collateral?
- The case for a central counterparty (CCP)
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12.40pm | Lunch
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| A NEW REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT WITH MORE BITE |
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1.50pm | A brave new world: how far will national and EU regulatory frameworks go?
- Can the shadow banking system go mainstream through regulation?
- What degree of transparency is needed?
- The case for and against a global regulator
- Revisiting Basel II: what needs to be done and quickly?
- National, European and global perspectives
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| | Mr. Michael Murray, Member of Internal Markets Cabinet, Financial Institutions Policy, European Commission
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| THE ROLE OF CENTRAL BANKS |
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2.30pm | Changing lanes: how different and extensive will the role of central banks be?
- What influence will central banks have over the real banking economy?
- What is the risk of business decisions being politicised?
- How much interference will be “too much”?
- Europe: playing a role in the new global post-trade infrastructure opportunity
- How significant will the threat of inflation be?
- Outlook for interest rates
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3.10pm | Speed networking
Sponsored by: 
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3.40pm | Afternoon refreshments
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| THE FUTURE OF STRUCTURED PRODUCTS |
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4.10pm | The “devil” reborn: how will securitisation and structured products have evolved?
- How will rating agencies evolve following their mistakes?
- What regulations will be in place?
- How will risk be repackaged?
- Will contracts be more standardised?
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| | Mr. James Bevan, Chief Investment Officer, CCLA Investment Management, and former Chief Investment Officer, Abbey Ntaional, CCLA Investment Management
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| NEW BUSINESS MODELS |
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4.50pm | Rising from the ashes: what new business models will emerge?
- Diversification versus specialisation
- How close are we to a single global market?
- New funding models
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| | Mr. Peter Hahn, Professor of Corporate Finance, Governance & Banking Issues, Cass Business School
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5.20pm | Chairman's closing remarks
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5.30pm | Networking drinks
Sponsored by:
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Conference Day Two Tuesday 19th May, 2009
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| The Roadmap: Action Points For A New Beginning |
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9am | Chairman’s opening remarks
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| MAKING IT HAPPEN NOW: THE ROLE OF GOVERNMENT |
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9.10am | Keeping ahead of the game: how can governments provide a meaningful, system-stabilising influence?
- What segments of the banking industry need greatest stimulation?
- What measures should the government be taking to generate this stimulus?
- How can the government influence the actions of banks that it does not own?
- Is taking a hard-core Keynesian approach to policy the right option?
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| | Dr Vince Cable, Shadow Chancellor and Deputy Leader, Liberal Democrats
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| REBUILDING CONFIDENCE |
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9.50am | Turning the tide: how can confidence in the banking sector be restored?
- What can be done to tackle both the reality and perception of counterparty risk?
- Can “systemic banks” that cannot fail be defined and created?
- How important is going “back to basics” for banks?
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| | Mr. Ivor Dunbar, Head of Global Capital Markets, Europe and Asia, Deutsche Bank
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10.30am | Morning refreshments
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| CAPITALISATION, LEVERAGE & LIQUIDITY |
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10.55am | Taming the beast: how can capitalisation, leverage and liquidity challenges be overcome?
- Bad debt and managing speculation
- How can dependence on short-term lending be reduced?
- Cash versus “virtual money”
- How much influence and control should the state have?
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| MANAGING RISK |
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11.25am | Determining new boundaries: what approach to risk versus return needs to be taken?
- Finding the right balance between profit and safety
- New approaches to cost control
- Managing political influences
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11.55am | Lunch
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1.05pm | Panel debate: The evolving derivatives industry infrastructure: how can it be optimised to promote financial stability?
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| | Mr Robert Pickel, Chief Executive Officer, International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA)
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1.45pm | Guest address: What does Obamanomics mean for the US banking sector, and will it benefit or stifle the European recovery?
- The beginning: what signals can we take from President Obama’s actions so far?
- Will a prudent Obama benefit Europe’s banking sector or restrain its recovery?
- What future economic policies can we expect?
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2.35pm | Big Brother version 2.0: what internal controls need to be implemented to better manage risk?
- What were the major risk management failures, and what needs to change?
- Who should take ownership of risk?
- How high should the bar be set for the acceptance and carrying of risk?
- What debt-to-asset and debt-to-capital ratios are desirable?
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3.05pm | Afternoon refreshments
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| NEW LOOK ACCOUNTING STANDARDS & DISCLOSURE |
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3.30pm | Rising above the confusion: how can control and assurance functions help banks to emerge from the crisis?
- Is risk convergence the answer?
- Pre-emptive action in dealing with evolving risk?
- How to provide assurance in a financial crisis?
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| GOVERNANCE & REMUNERATION |
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4pm | Changing the goal posts: what adjustments to current governance, remuneration and employee engagement are needed?
- What impact does this mean for existing people management practices on talent management, performance management and remuneration?
- How to keep employees engaged in these turbulent times
- What are the challenges of this environment in terms of reducing people cost?
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4.30pm | Chairman’s closing remarks
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